I really did think that my first blog in a while would've been on the subject of anything other than Covid-19 and lockdowns. Yet here we are, in the second half of 2021 with Aotearoa being in the grips of another outbreak.
Well, actually, when I say "grip", it's probably a bit misleading and definitely an overstatement in comparison to other parts of the world. In the interests of clarity, let me summarise exactly where we are.
Just a few weeks ago, one case of Covid-19 was detected in Auckland and by the end of that day the PM put the whole country into a Level 4 lockdown - the strictest response setting to a Covid-19 outbreak. Cue mass outrage from the media. But not, as you might have presumed, from within New Zealand. Instead the howls of derision came from the UK and the US. countries, I'm sure you'll agree, with an excellent pedigree of dealing with the virus effectively. Unfortunately for them, over 75% of the New Zealand was supportive of the swift action taken to stop the spread of the virus in its tracks. How inconsiderate of us. "Well if Kiwis can't be bothered to muster an appropriate level of indignation, then I guess we'll have to do it for them", said the UK and US media. Or words to that effect.
Even the ever-present boil on the arse of humanity Nigel Farage, felt compelled to get in on the pile-on tweeting "Jacinda Ardern has lost her marbles. New Zealand goes into full lockdown after a single Covid case." And it didn't stop there. The rant continued over on GB News "Jacinda Ardern, the recently re-elected Prime Minister of New Zealand, held up by so many in the world to be this wonderful, fantastic, exciting woman... But now what she's done - one case of COVID a 58-year-old man, and she's locking down the country. She's locking down the whole country for three days, including both islands - I mean work that one out - and parts of the country for a full seven days. That means everything is closed, at least that is my understanding of it."
In some ways it's reassuring to know that, even with all the changes the world is going through, you can relay on Farage being an ignorant twat. It having nothing to do with him and knowing sweet f-all about it has never stopped him before. But here's the thing Nigel. One case doesn't stay one case. Have you not been paying attention? Pretty soon one becomes six, six becomes thirty-six, thirty-six becomes a hundred, a hundred becomes six-hundred.
But he wasn't the only one. Others chipped in with their I-reckons. The general gist of the headlines, was of those wacky Hobbits, cutting themselves off from the rest of the world for the sake of trying to eliminate the virus from within their borders. They shouldn't bother and be more like us. Why waste time, effort and more importantly money on such a lost cause?
Of course, a key piece of context was missing from the reports. Just how successful we've been and how, for over a year now, have been living a normal life, or as close to one as is possible in these pandemic times. At times it's been easy to forget that there was a pandemic raging across the globe. Restaurants and bars were open, packed music festivals have been held, and schools have been uninterrupted. All without restrictions. If anything, those reports were a good reminder of how much of a global outlier we are when it comes to keeping the virus out of the community, at least most of the time, and .....here's the thing.... saving lives.
When asked by a reporter what she would say to people who questioned the need for such tight restrictions, Ardern responded with one word: “Australia. We’ve seen the dire consequences of taking too long to act in other countries, not least our neighbours,” Ardern said. “We have seen what can happen elsewhere if we fail to get on top of it. We only get one chance.”
Just across the ditch, New South Wales have today recorded another 1,533 cases of the Delta variant and four more deaths. Its' a sobering reminder of the devastation that the virus can bring if it's not taken seriously enough.
“We are one of the last countries in the world to have the Delta variant in our community,” Ardern added. “This has given us the chance to learn from others. While this is a situation no one wants to be in, there are benefits to being amongst the last … to learn from experience overseas, and what actions work and what actions don’t.”
Go hard, and go early has worked for New Zealand before and there's no reason why it shouldn't again, even with the trickier strain that is Delta. And New Zealand definitely does lockdowns properly. For once, Farage got something right when he said "...everything is closed..." because it is. Except for essential services - and no that doesn't include shoes shops or cafes - everything is shut during our Level 4 restrictions. Go hard.
So far it appears to be working. Today new case numbers dropped to 20. Ordinarily, this would've been good news but unfortunately it came with news of a death from a Covid-19 related illness. Our first since February and brings the total deaths to 27 since the start of the pandemic. There is still some way to go but it is at least encouraging that the temporary sacrifice of personal freedom is saving lives. Elimination of the Delta variant from within our borders is tantalisingly close.
What is true, however, is that New Zealand can't keep itself to itself for ever and at some point will have to emerge from our "Hobbit caves". The Delta variant has changed the game a little bit, and no doubt future variants will do the same, so we need to take a careful look at our game plan.
Will we stay the course with elimination in six months time? As the world’s most vaccinated countries open up further, and vaccinate more, over the next few months options will become clearer. In the meantime, we still have time to vaccinate and then, in the words of Michael Baker, a member of New Zealand Ministry of Health's Pandemic Influenza Technical Advisory Group, “choose our future”.